Research Briefing | Jul 12, 2024

The bullish structural case for gold

In light of the recent consolidation period, we think there is still time to capitalise on the gold price upswing that started in Q4 last year.

What you will learn:

  • Strong structural demand forces have created an extremely supportive environment for gold, with buying from emerging market central banks, Chinese consumers, and money managers.
  • As a result, we continue to see bullish fundamentals ahead and expect gold prices to trade above US$2,500/oz by mid-2025.
  • The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has been the largest gold buyer since 2022, stockpiling more than 300 tonnes of gold before halting its purchases in May. We see upside risks to gold should the PBoC continue buying at the same pace as in 2023, with scope for the price to hit US$3,000/oz by end-2026.
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