Navigating the Geopolitical storm – our latest scenarios

How could escalating geopolitical tensions reshape the global economy? With businesses increasingly alarmed by geopolitical risks, this webinar will delve into the most pressing concerns identified in recent Global Risk Surveys.

Our analysis covers the potential economic impacts of rising Middle East tensions and the consequences of a renewed trade war if Donald Trump returns to the White House. Additionally, we examine other risks associated with the 2024 US election, including the implications of a Kamala Harris presidential victory.

Join us to gain critical insights from our latest Global Scenarios Service.

Jamie Thompson

Head of Macro Scenarios

+44 (0) 203 910 8030

Jamie Thompson

Head of Macro Scenarios

London, United Kingdom

Jamie is Head of Macro Scenarios. He leads the production of macro-economic scenarios for the Global Scenario Service and is responsible for identifying and writing about key risks to the global economy.

Jamie joined Oxford Economics from the Bank of England, where he worked for 17 years on a range of monetary and financial stability issues to support both the Monetary Policy Committee and the Financial Policy Committee. Most recently, Editor of the Bank’s Financial Stability Report and Financial Stability Papers series, Jamie has written and edited extensively for the Bank’s flagship publications, including the Inflation Report.

Samuel Gonzalez Holguera

Senior Economist

Private: Samuel Gonzalez Holguera

Senior Economist

London

Samuel is a Senior Climate Economist. He works on long-term climate scenarios as part of Oxford Economics’ Global Climate Service.

Prior to joining Oxford Economics in 2024, Samuel worked for three years at Vivid Economics and McKinsey on sustainability projects, specialising in voluntary and compliance carbon markets. Samuel holds an MPhil in Economics from the University of Cambridge, and a BA in Philosophy, Politics and Economics from Durham University.

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