In the media | 29 Oct 2024

Business Standard: India’s missed trade opportunities as others gain from US-China tensions

Alexandra Hermann

Lead Economist, Asia Macro

The US presidential elections, now just days away, could trigger a reordering in global trade, especially if Donald Trump is re-elected and ratchets up tariffs on China. This is raising expectations in India that it could benefit from an increase in US substitution demand, propelling its struggling manufacturing sector.

Alexandra Hermann, Lead economist from Oxford Economics Asia Macro team, has a strong non-consensus call about the effects on India from tariffs on China. In her latest publication, Alexandra argues that the benefits to India are limited.

Download the full report for more insights, please click here.

Read the full article below:

You may be interested in

Post

Tariffs and Their Global Impact: A Note from the Desk of our Chief Economist

On 2 April 2025, the US Administration announced a set of tariff increases, bringing the US back to levels of protectionism last seen in the Great Depression era. This significant shift in trade policy is set to have far-reaching implications for the global economy.

Find Out More

Post

Trump tariffs will cut UK growth as global demand weakens

The imposition of larger-than-expected tariffs on US imports will lead us to cut our UK growth forecast.

Find Out More
US liberation day

Post

Initial takeaways from Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ announcement

In two or three years' time, US imports could fall by around 15% due to discounted reciprocal tariff hikes.

Find Out More