Oxford Economics Launches Megatrends Scenarios Service
Oxford Economics has launched Megatrends Scenarios, a new service designed to help decision-makers navigate structural shifts in the global economy. The first publication under this service, the Long-term Risks Shaped by Megatrends Report for Q1 2025, explores key trends influencing future economic outcomes.
The analysis provides an in-depth view of the evolving global economic landscape through the lens of four key megatrends. The service examines how globalisation, geopolitics, demographic shifts, technological advancements, and institutional policies, will shape the world economy over the coming decades.
“At a time when businesses and policymakers face increasing uncertainty, this service provides a data-driven foundation for strategic decision-making,” said Neil Walker, Managing Director of Macro Modelling and Scenarios at Oxford Economics.”
The Megatrends Scenarios service examines long-term global economic shifts, providing forecasts up to 2050 for 85 countries, and explores three key scenarios:
- Technology Revolution: A high-growth future fueled by AI, automation, and digital innovation, supported by regulatory clarity and global cooperation.
- Secular Stagnation: A low-growth scenario characterized by weak investment, demographic challenges, and limited technological progress.
- Fractured World: A future of rising geopolitical tensions, trade decoupling, and economic fragmentation due to increased protectionism.
Megatrends Scenarios provides essential insights for businesses, investors, and policymakers navigating an uncertain future. The findings emphasise the importance of initiative-taking adaptation to these megatrends.
Our analysis underscores the necessity for strategic planning amid evolving economic conditions,” Walker added. “Understanding these potential futures equips policymakers and businesses with the tools to make informed decisions that promote resilience and sustainable growth.
About Oxford Economics
Oxford Economics is the world’s foremost independent economic advisory firm. Covering over 200 countries, 100 industrial sectors and 8,000 cities and regions, we provide insights and solutions that enable clients to make intelligent and responsible business decisions faster in an increasingly complex and uncertain world. For more information, visit https://www.oxfordeconomics.com/
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