Economics for Asset Managers

Actionable, timely intelligence to sharpen your investment decisions.

Latest Reports

Explore our latest reports to navigate the complexities of today’s economic landscape and gain a thorough understanding of how the macrocycle influences investment returns.

Japan’s tariff turbulence to flatten near-term growth

Japan’s tariff turbulence to flatten near-term growth

We’ve cut our GDP growth forecasts for Japan by 0.2ppts to 0.8% in 2025 and by 0.4ppts to 0.2% in 2026, reflecting higher US tariffs and heightened global trade policy uncertainty. We now forecast that Japan’s economy will barely grow over 2025-2026 on a sequential basis.

Read more: Japan’s tariff turbulence to flatten near-term growth
Forecasting the Growth of Millennial Wealth in the U.S.

Forecasting the Growth of Millennial Wealth in the U.S.

Consulting Report Forecasting the Growth of Millennial Wealth in the U.S. You might be interested in

Read more: Forecasting the Growth of Millennial Wealth in the U.S.
Growth outlook cut further for the Eurozone amid tariff turmoil

Growth outlook cut further for the Eurozone amid tariff turmoil

Given the unique nature of the hike in US tariffs, the size of these supply and demand shocks and the speed at which they are arriving make the precise economic implications particularly hard to pin down. Overall, however, we expect GDP growth in the US and world economy to slow sharply, but we don’t anticipate recessions in either.

Read more: Growth outlook cut further for the Eurozone amid tariff turmoil
The relative winners and losers of tariffs

The relative winners and losers of tariffs

There are no absolute winners in a trade war, but some will fare relatively better than others.

Read more: The relative winners and losers of tariffs
Inflation is on the rise in Saudi Arabia, should we be worried?

Inflation is on the rise in Saudi Arabia, should we be worried?

Saudi Arabia’s inflation rose to 2.3% in March, its highest level since July 2023, driven mainly by a faster rise in food and beverage prices.

Read more: Inflation is on the rise in Saudi Arabia, should we be worried?
What the US tariff hikes mean for the global economy

What the US tariff hikes mean for the global economy

We expect GDP growth in both the US and world economy to slow sharply due to the tariff hikes, but we don’t anticipate recessions in either.

Read more: What the US tariff hikes mean for the global economy
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Over the past 12 months, the pace of disinflation has proceeded in line with our forecast and the outlook for monetary policy and yields has played out broadly in line with our expectations.

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