Africa Watchlist 2025: An economic phoenix, a fiscal syndrome, and more election surprises

If you were to believe the business community, the South African economy is set to rise from the ashes in the new year. In East Africa, Kenya’s chronic fiscal ailments look set to re-emerge, while the Horn of Africa could become even more unstable due to Ethiopia’s port desires. In the north, socioeconomic stressors in the context of hefty FDI in industry could make trade unions more confrontational, putting the government in an awkward spot.

Our Watchlist 2025 webinar discusses the likelihood and impact of these developments, as well as the prospect of more election surprises next year.

Louw Nel

Senior Political Analyst, OE Africa

+27 (0) 21 863 6200

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Louw Nel

Senior Political Analyst, OE Africa

Cape Town, South Africa

Louw is the senior political analyst at Oxford Economics Africa. He joined the company in 2020 after five years with South Africa’s official opposition party, serving as its operations director at Parliament. He has an obsessive relationship with African politics and covers South Africa and several other countries.

Jacques Nel

Head of Africa Macro, OE Africa

+27 (0)21 863 6200

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Jacques Nel

Head of Africa Macro, OE Africa

Cape Town, South Africa

Jacques is the head of Africa Macro at Oxford Economics Africa. He manages the company’s macroeconomic subscription services. Jacques joined the company in 2013 and his research interests include risk assessment and the drivers behind development.