Eurozone: tariff threat weighs on the outlook

The eurozone economy remains stuck in a low gear and we have recently cut our growth forecasts as a result of our expectation of US tariffs on European imports being imposed over the coming months. While we still think the Eurozone economy is more likely to continue to grow at weak pace rather than fall into recession, the list of risk factors – ranging from more cautious households and firms to a full-blown trade war – remains long.

In this webinar, we will discuss both the recent changes to our baseline and the risks around it, as well as their consequences for the fiscal and monetary policy outlook.

This webinar will be held on our new platform, ON24. Please check your junk and spam folders for your confirmation email.

Mateusz Urban

Senior Economist

+49 (698) 088 3017

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Mateusz Urban

Senior Economist

Frankfurt, Germany

Mateusz Urban is a Senior Economist within the macro forecasting division of Oxford Economics. He is providing coverage of Poland and Hungary, alongside a host of smaller economies. Beyond that, he is producing thematic research on the ECB and the eurozone. He is based in Frankfurt and Warsaw.

Previously, he was working in the Scenarios, Stress Testing and Financial Modelling team in London. Before joining Oxford Economics, he interned at Deloitte, working in the economic analysis team, and at Oxera, a consultancy, where he focused on economic modelling and forecasting. Mateusz holds a MA in Political Economy degree from Duke University and a first-class BSc in Economics degree from the University of Nottingham.