Global and UK Outlook Conference – Spring 2022
ABOUT THIS EVENT
From pandemic to endemic but will the recovery survive inflation?
The economic recovery is now coexisting alongside covid but the outlook continues to be dominated by the legacy of the pandemic. High energy prices, supply chain disruption, a tight labour market and now the invasion of Ukraine are combining to lift inflation in the UK and around the world. Monetary policy makers are reacting to try to keep inflation in check but what does this mean for growth? How will these legacy issues impact sectors and regions differently? At this conference, we will present our latest research on these critical issues and what they mean for the global and UK economies and industries, financial markets and fiscal and monetary policy.
AGENDA
8.45am Registration and coffee
9.15am Chairman’s introduction | Adrian Cooper, CEO
9.20am Global and UK Economic Outlook – After inflation, what about growth? | Innes McFee, Chief Global Economist
Tight monetary and fiscal policy alongside squeezed real incomes in advanced economies and a slowing Chinese economy are clouding the outlook for global growth. Will the advanced economies return to a low growth/inflation baseline or is this the start of stagflation? Is there a sting in the tail for emerging markets from Covid?
10.10am Coffee
10.30am Panel discussion – Which medium-term themes will define the economy?
Chair: Adrian Cooper, CEO
Panellists:
Andrew Goodwin – Chief UK Economist
Richard Holt – Director of Global Cities Research
Jeremy Leonard – Managing Director of Global Industry Services
Innes McFee – Chief Global Economist
Which sectors and regions will be most insulated from higher interest rates, supply chain disruptions and labour shortages? How is Brexit changing the UK economy and will levelling up have a meaningful impact? How will hybrid working and technology shape the future of work and retail? How can economies meet the challenges of an ageing population?
11.25am Chairman’s conclusions | Adrian Cooper
11.30am Close
Speakers

Adrian Cooper
Chief Executive Officer

Adrian Cooper
Chief Executive Officer
Adrian Cooper is responsible for coordinating and managing Oxford Economics’ global economic analysis, forecasting and consultancy activities, and overseeing its global team of 400 professionals including over 250 economists. He has led Oxford Economics’ work on a wide array of consultancy projects, ranging from policy advice to government departments in Europe, the US, Africa, and Asia to detailed analysis of the economic impact of particular industries and investment proposals.
Adrian spent the first seven years of his career with HM Treasury, England. During this time, he worked on the analysis of tax and other economic policy changes as part of the preparations for the UK Budget. He was also the coordinator of the government’s macroeconomic forecast for two years.
Prior to joining Oxford Economics in 1994, Adrian was UK economist for James Capel & Company, responsible for analysing and forecasting the UK economy for institutional investors, as well as briefing Capel’s own traders. Adrian was educated at the University of Bristol, England, where he gained a first-class degree in Economics; and at the London School of Economics and Political Science, England, where he achieved a distinction in the MSc in Economics and won the Ely Devons prize for outstanding performance in the degree examinations.

Innes McFee
Managing Director of Macro and Investor Services

Innes McFee
Managing Director of Macro and Investor Services
Innes McFee is Managing Director of Macro and Investor Services, based in London. Innes oversees the activities of the Macro & Investor Services teams globally, including the Global Macro Forecast and Global Macro Service. Innes joined Oxford Economics in 2017 after 6 years at Lloyds Banking Group as a Senior Economist. At Lloyds Innes was responsible for the economic scenarios underpinning the Group’s internal planning and stress testing; analysis of key risks; and developing Lloyds’ approach to multiple economic scenarios for IFRS9.

Andrew Goodwin
Chief UK Economist, Macro and Investor Services

Andrew Goodwin
Chief UK Economist, Macro and Investor Services
“Andrew has been with Oxford Economics since August 2008. Prior to joining Oxford Economics, he spent three years working for Experian, where he managed the Regional Planning Service and was responsible for producing UK macroeconomic forecasts from the national level down to local authorities.
Before joining Experian, Andrew spent four years as a senior economist at the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), where he was responsible for producing the UK forecast, in addition to providing analysis for the CBI Industrial Trends Survey and CBI Distributive Trades Survey.
Andrew was educated at the University of Surrey, where he gained an upper second class degree in Business Economics with Computing.”

Jeremy Leonard
Director of Global Industry Services

Jeremy Leonard
Director of Global Industry Services
Jeremy Leonard | Director of Global Industry Services
Jeremy Leonard is responsible for overseeing the work of the industry forecasting team and managing the operation and output of Oxford Economics’ 74-country, 100-sector Global Industry Model as well as related consultancy work. Jeremy’s knowledge and past experience span a broad range, including competitiveness and offshoring/reshoring, commodity price modelling, and applied economic research on sectors ranging from biotech to heavy manufacturing to telecoms.

Richard Holt
Director of Global Cities Research

Richard Holt
Director of Global Cities Research
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