No shelter from the external storm for Central and Eastern Europe

Date: 14 April

CEE economies are currently showing solid growth momentum, but it is almost entirely domestically driven. Meanwhile, the external backdrop is becoming ever murkier. US tariffs and trade policy uncertainty are the most immediate concern. But German industrial underperformance, Chinese manufacturing overcapacity and growing competition, and the potential implications of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire all weigh on the region. In this EM webinar, we will explore how these external forces are shaping the CEE’s economic and strategy outlook.

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Tomas Dvorak

Senior Economist

+44 (0) 203 910 8150

Tomas Dvorak

Senior Economist

London, United Kingdom

Tomas is a Senior Economist in the Macro and Investor Services’ eurozone team. He oversees the coverage of Central and Eastern Europe in addition to producing thematic research on the eurozone and developing modern, data-driven approaches to economic forecasting, including the use of alternative and high-frequency data.

Tomas holds an MA in economics from the University of Glasgow and an MSc in economics from the University College London. He previously worked as a data scientist at KPMG and as an advisor in the European Parliament.

Mateusz Urban

Senior Economist

+49 (698) 088 3017

Mateusz Urban

Senior Economist

Frankfurt, Germany

Mateusz Urban is a Senior Economist within the macro forecasting division of Oxford Economics. He is providing coverage of Poland and Hungary, alongside a host of smaller economies. Beyond that, he is producing thematic research on the ECB and the eurozone. He is based in Frankfurt and Warsaw.

Previously, he was working in the Scenarios, Stress Testing and Financial Modelling team in London. Before joining Oxford Economics, he interned at Deloitte, working in the economic analysis team, and at Oxera, a consultancy, where he focused on economic modelling and forecasting. Mateusz holds a MA in Political Economy degree from Duke University and a first-class BSc in Economics degree from the University of Nottingham.

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