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Webinar
Trump 2.0: Global Trade, Tariffs & Economic Shifts

with Innes McFee, Ben May, Geoffroy Dolphin, Jeremy Leonard, Scott McEwan and Tony Stillo | Online | May 7, 2025

In part two, of our Trump 2.0 webinar series, we explore the international consequences of President Trump’s return to power. With initial tariffs far exceeding expectations, we will discuss renewed tariff tensions, shifting alliances, supply chain disruptions and global market uncertainty. We will examine how the first 100 days have shaped the global economic landscape — and what the ripple effects may be in the months to come. We’ll focus on cross-border trade, sector-level impact, climate and the evolving role of the US to its neighbours and globally.

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Webinar
Trump 2.0: U.S. Economy & Policy Shifts

with Ryan Sweet, Adam Sacks, Barbara Byrne Denham, Michael Pearce and Nico Palesch | Online | May 6, 2025

In the first session of our Trump 2.0 series, we turn our attention to the domestic landscape. We unpack how Trump’s early policy actions — from fiscal shifts and labour market interventions to immigration and industry-specific changes — are affecting the U.S. economy, and how tariff policies will impact local markets. We assess the immediate and longer-term consequences for states, cities, sectors, and tourism, and consider what lies ahead as the administration’s agenda takes shape.

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Webinar
Nordics: Growth weighed by international policy uncertainty

with Rory Fennessy, Gustav Hummel and Nico Palesch | Online | April 24, 2025

Economic activity has firmed up recently, but inflation surprised on the upside in early 2025 and the international policy environment is more uncertain. In this webinar, we will unpack the drivers of our near-term macro, industry, and cities outlook for the Nordic economies.

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Webinar
Slow and Constrained – lower ambition, higher risk

with Beatrice Tanjangco, Samuel Holguera and Geoffroy Dolphin | Online | April 23, 2025

The Global Climate Service quantifies the macroeconomic impacts of six climate scenarios against a stated policies baseline. These scenarios help businesses understand the implications of climate change and trade-offs of climate mitigation. This webinar will cover our latest research on NDC ambition, the current NDC implementation gap, and the issue of policy credibility. In line with the fading enthusiasm for climate policy, we will discuss our latest low-ambition transition scenario, ‘Slow and Constrained’.

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Webinar
ETC – European tourism trends and prospects: Q1 2025

with Chloe Parkins, Miro Blazevic and Menno Van IJssel | Online | April 23, 2025

As European travel enters a new phase of growth in 2025, Tourism Economics will highlight and examine the latest trends that have emerged so far this year and explore what greater global uncertainty means for travel activity going forward. Additionally, Lighthouse will cover the latest data and trends regarding short-term rentals in Europe, offering a recap of 2024 and providing insightful predictions for the year ahead.

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Webinar
US tariffs: Where are the Risks and Rewards for Businesses in Asia?

with Adam Samdin and Thang Nguyen-Quoc | Online | April 22, 2025

President Trump's latest tariff announcements has been particularly concerning for export-dependent Asian economies. Not only has the escalated trade war threatened to upend economic stability globally, each country is also facing varied domestic challenges that complicate the situation. Amidst the chaos, where do the risks and rewards lie in the Asian market? In this webinar, Dr Thang Nguyen-Quoc and Adam Samdin will take stock of the macroeconomic development in Asia, and present Oxford Economics’ in-house Risk and Reward Service that analyses the threats and opportunities that arise across Asian countries under a tariff escalation scenario.

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Webinar
Our macro outlook in the wake of “Liberation Day”

with Adam Slater, Daniel Harenberg and Ben May | Online | April 17, 2025

We discuss how President Donald Trump’s new tariff announcements on "Liberation Day" (and thereafter) have changed our outlook for the world economy. In addition to the new tariff measures themselves, our recent research shows the significant economic damage from tariff uncertainty, which could be amplified by consumer sentiment and financial market contagion.

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Webinar
No shelter from the external storm for Central and Eastern Europe

with Tomas Dvorak and Mateusz Urban | Online | April 14, 2025

CEE economies are currently showing solid growth momentum, but it is almost entirely domestically driven. Meanwhile, the external backdrop is becoming ever murkier. US tariffs and trade policy uncertainty are the most immediate concern. But German industrial underperformance, Chinese manufacturing overcapacity and growing competition, and the potential implications of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire all weigh on the region. In this EM webinar, we will explore how these external forces are shaping the CEE’s economic and strategy outlook.

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Webinar
China: Rethinking Tariff Risks and Macro Implications

with Louise Loo | Online | April 11, 2025

While the direct macro effects of new (and potential) US tariffs could prove manageable for an economy with China's fiscal resources, Beijing's policy toolkit in response to rising tariff risks is also much bigger this time around, creating an additional source of uncertainty to the outlook. We dive into the range of possible retaliatory responses from China to ongoing trade tensions, the delicate balancing act between managing strategic interests and domestic economic headwinds, and their implications for our China forecast both in the short and medium terms.

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Webinar
Aviation’s role in fuelling economic growth and how to future-proof global air transport

with Chloe Parkins, Sami Hamroush, Stephen Rooney and Haldane Dodd | Online | April 10, 2025

Aviation is a key driver of global economic growth, connectivity, and innovation. This webinar, co-hosted by Oxford Economics and the Air Transport Action Group, will explore the findings of the Aviation: Benefits Beyond Borders report, highlighting aviation’s role in economic development, job creation, and global trade, specifically in developing countries and emerging economies. It will provide a platform for an insightful discussion on the challenges of a global industry and how to future-proof air transport for generations to come.

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Webinar
Realigning supply chains in a time of tariff uncertainty

with Alex Mackle, Martina Bozadzhieva and Ricardo Gomez Melgar | Online | April 9, 2025

In this webinar, we'll explore the outlook for how tariff uncertainty may affect corporate decisions about supply chain structures. We'll also review Oxford Economics' updated Market Compass index. The index compares manufacturing attractiveness across markets globally to inform companies pressure-testing their manufacturing location plans.

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Webinar
UK Macroeconomic Outlook

with Andrew Goodwin and Edward Allenby | Online | April 7, 2025

The extent of the H2 2024 slowdown appears to have been exaggerated by residual seasonality in the GDP data, but 2025 still promises to be a challenging year. In this webinar we’ll analyse the UK outlook in light of the Chancellor’s Spring Statement and March’s MPC meeting.

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Webinar
A dampened CRE recovery in 2025

with Abigail Rosenbaum and Riccardo Pizzuti | Online | April 4, 2025

While we anticipate solid economic growth in 2025, ongoing tariff uncertainty continues to pose downside risks. We expect US inflation to rise in the short term, leading the Fed to hold rates steady until December. Elevated long-term bond yields are expected to temper investor sentiment. As a result, the commercial real estate (CRE) pricing recovery will remain subdued this year, though not derailed, before gaining stronger momentum in 2026 and 2027. In this real estate webinar, we utilize our proprietary Relative Return Index (RRI) to identify compelling risk-adjusted investment opportunities across global CRE markets as the pricing recovery unfolds.

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Webinar
Can the economy weather the policy storm?

with Ryan Sweet and Michael Pearce | Online | April 3, 2025

The narrative around US policymaking and its growth impacts this year. Tax and spending changes wouldn't take effect until next year, while immigration restrictions would slowly weigh on the economy, as not all recent immigrants immediately participate in the labour market and past immigrant cohorts would support growth in labour supply this year. However, the biggest wild card in our forecast has always been trade policy but DOGE is an emerging risk. Deregulation is an upside risk to the near-term forecast as it could boost productivity growth and business investment. This webinar will discuss how the policy landscape, the near-term economic outlook and what is ahead for the Federal Reserve.

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Webinar
Global travel growth opportunities amid tariff and trade uncertainty

with Helen McDermott and Chloe Parkins | Online | April 2, 2025

2025 is off to an interesting start for global travel. Two months into his second term, President Trump has begun to implement tariffs on China, Canada, Mexico and the EU and has signalled he may go further on these measures and recent data is beginning to shed light on the potential impacts on travel. In this webinar, we examine who has the most to lose in the global trade war and what opportunities remain across global travel activity.

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Webinar
Assessing Nature Risk and Quantifying Scenarios

with Jake Kuyer, Sarah Nelson and Aniska Bitomsky | Online | March 27, 2025

Nature degradation and biodiversity loss pose material challenges to corporate strategy and risk management. We will discuss how we assess nature-related risks, impacts and dependencies, and explore their implications for companies' business operations including the supply chain. Join us to hear how we model potential changes to the future state of nature in our newly developed scenarios, which offer both qualitative narrative and quantitative analysis, and get an insight into how these changes might feed through to the economy and international supply chains. Our analysis can support robust transition planning and help companies align with TNFD and SBTN.

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Webinar
Tariffe e tensioni geopolitiche, quale impatto per l’Europa?

with Nicola Nobile and Paolo Grignani | Online | March 26, 2025

Mentre il mondo si scontra con un’amministrazione Trump molto interventista, l’economia dell’Eurozona rimane sostanzialmente bloccata, in attesa di sviluppi sul fronte dazi e alle prese con la questione Ucraina e le relative implicazioni a livello di spesa per la Difesa.

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