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Events and Webinars

We run a worldwide programme of insightful conferences, roundtables, webinars and podcasts presented by our economic experts.

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Webinar
Global industry overview: recovery to rotate towards consumer services

Online | June 9, 2021

We have raised our global sector forecasts again this quarter and maintain a relatively upbeat outlook about the pace of the economic recovery. While recent Covid-related developments confirm that the pandemic is far from over, the economic data have continued to paint a positive picture. We project that the easing of restrictions across much of the world will prompt growth to rotate away from manufacturing, finance, and tech, and towards hard-hit consumer services such as travel and hospitality from Q2 2021.

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Webinar
June FOMC meeting: “Transitory” or “sticky” inflation? That is the question for the Fed

Online | June 9, 2021

Fed officials assert the recent surge in inflation will be transitory, but are they being “dangerously complacent” as Larry Summers affirms? Much will depend on how long it takes to resolve supply imbalances in the goods and labor markets. Vice Chairman Clarida sounding a bit more concerned said officials will be highly “attuned and attentive” to incoming economic data. The June FOMC meeting will offer a critical assessment of the evolving economic dynamics measured against the Fed’s new Flexible Average Inflation Target (FAIT) framework.

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Webinar
Travel in 2021: the recovery starts here

Online | June 9, 2021

Activity is picking up in some key markets around the world as travel restrictions are easing for both domestic and international travel. The northern hemisphere summer should see large jumps in leisure demand, and especially for domestic and short-haul travel, while event calendars are starting to fill up which should drive further travel activity. Tourism Economics’ latest global outlook and the timing for a return to pre-pandemic levels, will be described, as well as upside opportunities and key risks.

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Webinar
Global scenarios: Consumer boom

Online | June 8, 2021

Recent months have seen rising hopes of a consumer boom as savings accumulated during the pandemic are unwound. We examine this key upside risk, as analysed in the latest Global Scenarios Service, as well as potential threats to the global economy from the pandemic and inflation.

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Webinar
City tourism: the slow road to recovery

Online | May 27, 2021

City destinations have been harder hit by the pandemic to date due to a typical reliance on more international and business travel while leisure travellers have sought out less crowded destinations, with more available outdoor activities in the early stages of recovery. Current impacts and expected future trends will be discussed in this session, looking at cities relative to wider travel demand, as well as a ranking of top destination cities.

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Webinar
Workforce composition and economic productivity in Africa

Online | May 25, 2021

Much has been said about the ‘demographic dividend’: how disposable income increases as the dependency ratio in a country goes down. Less work has been done on the influence of demographic changes – specifically, a maturing workforce – on economic productivity. This webinar will summarise a simplified analysis of how, in developed countries, the maturing of the demographic profile has been associated with increased economic productivity. Next, we will go over the demographic forecasts for Africa and consider what they may mean for future economic output on the

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Webinar
Tracking the recovery across European cities

Online | May 24, 2021

The impact of the pandemic has been uneven across European city economies and the path to recovery will also vary. In this session, we will explore how cities have fared across the continent and present key themes shaping the outlook.

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Webinar
UK Macro, Cities and Industry Outlook

Online | May 20, 2021

Spring appears to have firmly sprung for the UK economy, with the speedy rollout of vaccines and a relaxation of restrictions promising a rapid rebound in activity from 2020’s Covid-related slump. But the outlook for the economy is hardly short of uncertainties. To what extent will households dip into savings accumulated during lockdowns and fuel a hoped-for consumer rebound? Will a resurgence of inflation prove a spectre at the feast? How worried should we be about the dangers of persistent “scarring” to the economy’s capacity as a result of the pandemic? And how will the housing market fare in a post-Covid world? Join us, as we explore these questions, and more, from a macro, sectoral and regional perspective.

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Webinar
European retail and consumer spending outlook and trends in the post-COVID world

Online | May 19, 2021

The pandemic has caused fundamental shifts in the macroeconomy and consumer behaviour across Europe. But are these trends here to stay and what is the consumer outlook over the short and medium-term? In this session, we will explore the big picture macro and consumer & retail sales outlook, prospects for excess savings fuelling a mini consumer boom, changing composition of consumer spending, the rise of online shopping vs in-store, tourism developments related to the consumer sector and the sub-national regional patterns of consumer spending.

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Webinar
Goldilocks global recovery? Consumers will decide

Online | May 18, 2021

Our forecast for global GDP growth has been revised up again to 6.3% in 2021 and 4.6% in 2022, while the outlook for inflation remains relatively benign. Despite our optimistic outlook relative to other forecasters, we are mindful of the upside risks that the estimated $4.7trn of excess saving sitting with advanced economy households represents. We explore two upside scenarios related to the spending of these savings and the possibility that it may lead to overheating in parts of the global economy.

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Webinar
LatAm Strategy: Why we should look beyond the political noise

Online | May 17, 2021

The political climate in Latin America has sharply deteriorated, the Covid crisis acting as a catalyst for anti-corruption protests and claims for social equalities. But beyond politics and sometimes turbulent elections, the economic factors may have the last word and we highlight where there are investment opportunities.

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Webinar
Model Training Webinar – May 2021

Online | May 9, 2021

10th May 2021 | We invite you to join our training webinar on the Oxford Economics’ Global Economic Model. During the one-hour training, we will introduce you to the software’s key facilities for visualising, manipulating and downloading data and illustrate how to perform scenario analysis using the Global Economic Model.

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Webinar
Will a savings splurge materialise?

Online | April 28, 2021

UK households have accumulated unprecedented savings during the pandemic, potentially offering the fuel for a consumer boom when the economy reopens. But what are the factors which will influence just how profligate, or prudent, savers prove to be? And will the release of pent-up cash prove to be a flood or a trickle?

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Webinar
South East Asia: Growth is gearing up but not yet at full steam

Online | April 27, 2021

Tighter mobility restrictions around the turn of the year will weigh on growth in Q1 for most SEA economies while inflation is also trending higher. We expect the region’s recovery to gather pace in Q2, led by strong exports and electronics demand amid a global rebound. But a return to pre-pandemic levels remains some time off for some and the recovery will continue to depend on a country’s health success and policy support. New outbreaks and a slower vaccination progress remain key risks to the outlook.

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Webinar
Will air travel take off again in 2021

Online | April 27, 2021

Tentative recovery in air travel is still set to begin in 2021, but more slowly than in earlier forecasts and growth is far from uniform across markets. Vaccine roll-out is continuing, but the slow and uneven pace highlights that vaccinations alone will not be sufficient to fully restore pre-pandemic trends. The outlook and risks will be discussed by country and region, along with key drivers for growth.

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Webinar
Nordics Macro, Industry and Cities Outlook: How will the economy heal from Covid-19?

Online | April 23, 2021

The Nordic economies outperformed most of Europe across the course of 2020 and are set to recover faster than the wider region, supported by resilient industrial activity whilst services lag. The second wave of infections will drag on near-term activity, but we expect growth to accelerate firmly from Q2 as widespread vaccine deployment allows governments to ease restrictions, paving the way for a normalisation in activity across different sectors of the economy and the Nordic cities.

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Webinar
Eurozone: A rebound in the second half of the year is still on the cards

Online | April 21, 2021

The eurozone has been heavily affected by the pandemic crisis and the economic recovery remains highly linked to the health situation. We still expect a strong rebound in the second half of this year, with lockdown restrictions being gradually eased and activity picking up pace across all the sectors of the economy. Tourism activity will also resume in 2021, but remaining below pre-pandemic levels. However, the magnitude of the rebound will depend on the success of the vaccine campaigns across the bloc; ongoing obstacles to vaccine production and distribution represent major downside risks for the recovery at this time. On the other side, a potential strong rebound in private consumption could improve the boost later this year and in 2022.

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Webinar
Shining a spotlight on key African economic sectors in the post-Covid-19 world

Online | April 20, 2021

The Covid-19 shock upended the African growth model, with the short-term drivers of growth shifting towards government consumption as supply-chain severance disrupted industry. However, did the pandemic change the face of the growth model over the longer term, too? Covid-19 served as a catalyst to lower the barriers to financial inclusivity, cashless transactions, and technological advancement, but the ripple effects of the pandemic extend beyond the services sector. Delving into the more granular details of the sectoral outlook, we investigate which subsectors may emerge as long-term winners and which ones might be left behind in the post-Covid world.

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