UK | Freedom day to bolster recovery, but Covid rates a worry
The government’s announcement that most of the remaining Covid restrictions are likely to be removed on July 19 has bolstered our confidence in the strength of the UK’s recovery. We expect UK GDP to grow nearly 8% this year.
The link between Covid cases and hospitalisations appears to have weakened significantly. But with case numbers rising sharply and new variants still a potential threat, the UK cannot be complacent.
What you will learn:
- Our above-consensus GDP growth forecast
- Covid cases have risen sharply over the past month, but hospitalisations have remained low
- The emergence of the more transmissible Delta variant has caused Covid cases to rise sharply over the past month
Tags:
Related Services

Post
Housing affordability lowest in Greek, Danish, and German cities
House prices across Europe have soared over the past decade, especially in cities. During this time, incomes in Europe have not kept pace with house price hikes on average, squeezing the purchasing power of homebuyers in many European cities.
Find Out More
Post
Parsing US federal job cuts by metro
Cuts to the Federal government workforce, which we estimate to be 200,000 in 2025, will have a modest impact nationally, but more significant implications for the Washington, DC metropolitan economy as it accounts for 17% of all non-military federal jobs in the US.
Find Out More