Research Briefing | Mar 30, 2021

Vaccine raises UK growth hopes, but industrial activity to be buffeted by Brexit

UK sector outlook Q1 2021

Our latest UK sector forecasts show that we expect services will outpace industrial production this year, in contrast to the sector dynamics other advanced economies.

What you will learn:

  • The weakness in industry primarily reflects the impact of the end of the Brexit transition period.
  • The UK-EU FTA will keep trade tariff- and quota-free for qualifying goods. But the new relationship has still introduced customs and regulatory barriers that will weigh on the competitiveness of industry.
  • Export-orientated and highly-regulated sectors such as autos and chemicals respectively will be among the worst hit.

    If you wish to view more charts, please request a free trial here.

Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Global trade and sectorial implications of US-imposed tariffs

Post

Tariff Sector Vulnerability Index

Electronics, electricals, motor vehicles, pharmaceuticals and machinery are most exposed globally to US-imposed tariffs.

Find Out More

Post

Silver lining for China’s residential real estate sector

Residential real estate commencements (floor area) are expected to pick up over 2025. However, activity will remain at structurally lower levels, with Chinese authorities expected to maintain their goal to clamp down on speculative demand.

Find Out More