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Economic and Political Risk Evaluator

Navigate the critical economic and geopolitical risks that can impact strategies and operations.

Overview

The Economic and Political Risk Evaluator (EPRE) forecasts economic and geopolitical risks in 164 countries through regularly updated country risk scores, in-depth country profiles, event-driven analysis, and an intuitive dashboard.

Through EPRE, you can access the collective expertise of Oxford Economics, the world’s premier independent economic advisory firm; Seerist, the first augmented analytics solution for risk and threat analysis and its strategic partner, Control Risks, the leading specialist risk consultancy. Each partner brings in market-leading knowledge, and together, we offer truly unrivalled perspectives and insights.

Highlights

Global risk coverage

Profiles and ratings for 164 countries, weighting political, economic, business and security factors.

Economic forecasts and briefings

Access to reports and forecast data for 200 countries, with event-driven briefings.

Political, regulatory, and operational analysis

Analysis of political events from partners networks to monitor impact of political and operational issues.

Visualisation and custom ratings

Adjust weightings for each risk factor to fit your views or compare scores.

The risks we analyse

The Economic and Political Risk Evaluator covers 11 risk variables that are the most relevant for assessing political and economic risk.

Economic and financial

Sovereign risk: the risk that a government will default on its debt.
Exchange rate risk: the risk of a significant movement in the exchange rate.
Trade credit: the risk that a trading partner will not pay its obligation.

Political

Political stability: the stability of the current government and the overall political system.
Ideology and policy: ideological and policy orientation of the current and future government.
International relations: with neighbours, trade partners, and the international community.

Business and market

Business environment: risks relating to the influence of societal and structural factors on business activity, including state and non-state actions.
Operating cost: the risk that operating costs rise faster than recent trends.
Market demand: the risk that market demand could be significantly different to recent trends.

Security and social cohesion

Security environment: the outlook for the domestic security environment – encompassing war, crime, violent unrest, terrorism, insurgency, and other security issues.
Social cohesion: the outlook for social stability, the prospect of social unrest, and the significance of sociocultural issues to policy making.

Brochure

Economic and Political Risk Evaluator

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“Oxford Economics’ data and forecasts form the backbone of our demand models. The global consistency and granular detail available in their expansive dataset allows us to focus on the variables most relevant to our business.”

Resources and events

Research Briefing

US Recession Monitor – Revisions reduce recession risks

Blog

Toss-up US elections increase downside risks again for our Q3 IFRS 9 and CECL scenarios

Infographic

Infographic: Measuring risk exposure to China-Taiwan tensions

Research Briefing

Margins muscle through US supply chains

See all Resources

Webinar

Air travel recovery to resume in 2022 post-Omicron

Webinar

UK Outlook: How many times will the MPC hike in 2022?

Webinar

Has Asia’s inflation peaked?

Webinar

The transformation of Japan from a goods to capital exporter

See all Events, Webinars and Podcasts

Global Macro Service Brochure

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