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Global Scenarios Service

Explore the implications of key risks to the world economy

About the Global Scenarios Service

Our Global Scenarios Service explores the implications of key risks to the world economy, enabling better decision-making.

Five year forecasts and scenarios

Coverage of 85 individual economies, including advanced economies and key emerging markets, as well as the Eurozone and regional aggregates.

Complete datasets

Access to a databank that allows users to quickly build queries with complete flexibility and view the data in tables, charts, and maps.

Full analysis

Reports that describe the baseline forecast and how each scenario develops, together with dashboards to help visualise the headline results.

Broad coverage

Forecasts cover key macro and financial variables, including output, spending, employment, inflation, interest rates, balance of payments, and government finances.

About the service

Each quarter our economists survey clients for input on the scenarios that we should develop and analyse their impact on our baseline forecasts.

What clients receive

Clients receive a report describing the features of the baseline forecast and of each of the five-year scenarios, with headline results and access to complete data sets.

Frequent updates

Scenario results are updated twice a month on the global scenarios databank and dashboard, with supporting reports, chart packs and spreadsheets also updated.

Series covered

Forecasts for:

GDP
Consumption
Investment
Unemployment rate (%)
Employment
CPI
Short-term interest rates (%)
Current account (% of GDP)
Government budget balance (% of GDP)
Long-term interest rates (%)
Exchange rates for the US dollar, sterling and the euro
Stock market indices

Brochure

Global Scenarios Service

Quarterly updated macro scenarios for the global economy

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Resources and events

Research Briefing

Russia – CBR’s huge rate hike unlikely to restore financial stability

Research Briefing

China’s renminbi (CNY) will benefit from its safe haven status

Research Briefing

Russian invasion dents near-term UK growth outlook

In The Media

BBC News: The global debt crisis

See all Resources

Webinar

Air travel recovery to resume in 2022 post-Omicron

Webinar

UK Outlook: How many times will the MPC hike in 2022?

Webinar

Has Asia’s inflation peaked?

Webinar

The transformation of Japan from a goods to capital exporter

See all Events, Webinars and Podcasts

Russia invades Ukraine, damaging the global economy

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