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Latest Reports

Explore our latest reports to navigate the complexities of today’s economic landscape and gain a thorough understanding of how the macrocycle influences investment returns.

US PCE Nowcast – Expect the hottest reading since early 2023

US PCE Nowcast – Expect the hottest reading since early 2023

April’s inflation trends reveal significant shifts in energy prices and core goods, indicating a divergence between CPI and PCE. Discover more insights.

Read more: US PCE Nowcast – Expect the hottest reading since early 2023
War uncertainty keeps US markets on edge ahead of CPI, retail sales, and refunding

War uncertainty keeps US markets on edge ahead of CPI, retail sales, and refunding

Market stability is affected by ongoing geopolitical tensions and fluctuating oil prices. Key economic indicators are on the horizon, influencing future trends.

Read more: War uncertainty keeps US markets on edge ahead of CPI, retail sales, and refunding
A Changing US Fed Faces Sticky Inflation and Cracks in Consumer Strength

A Changing US Fed Faces Sticky Inflation and Cracks in Consumer Strength

Yields may rise as inflation and geopolitical tensions persist, despite any short-term relief

Read more: A Changing US Fed Faces Sticky Inflation and Cracks in Consumer Strength
Boom in Carolina migration driven by job opportunities, affordability, and retirees in the US

Boom in Carolina migration driven by job opportunities, affordability, and retirees in the US

Growth is concentrating in major metros, boosting spending but widening regional gaps.

Read more: Boom in Carolina migration driven by job opportunities, affordability, and retirees in the US
Supply pressures resurface in Eurozone

Supply pressures resurface in Eurozone

Energy-driven supply shocks push Eurozone inflation higher, prompting expected ECB rate hikes despite weak demand.

Read more: Supply pressures resurface in Eurozone
Treasury curve steepening to resume once US/Israel war with Iran ends

Treasury curve steepening to resume once US/Israel war with Iran ends

Treasury yields may steepen after Middle East tensions ease, but persistent inflation and structural pressures could keep long-term rates elevated.

Read more: Treasury curve steepening to resume once US/Israel war with Iran ends
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Understand and Anticipate Interest Rate Changes with Trusted Oxford Economics Research

Understand and Anticipate Interest Rate Changes with Trusted Oxford Economics Research

Over the past 12 months, the pace of disinflation has proceeded in line with our forecast and the outlook for monetary policy and yields has played out broadly in line with our expectations.
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